What Is the Worst Price Crash That Is Within the Realm of the Reasonable?

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I wrote last week about some comments made by Ben Inker, the head of asset allocation at GMO, in a recent interview. In another section of the interview, he spoke about how bad things could get in a price crash. He referred to losses of “30 or 40 or 50 percent.”

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Q4 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

Losses From Price Drops

Those sorts of losses would be very bad. I get it. But I can’t help but note that, in a worst-case-but-not-entirely-unreasonable scenario, the losses experienced could be a lot worse than that. Today’s CAPE level is 36. The mean CAPE level is 16. Just a return to the average price level would require a price drop of more than 50 percent.

After Returning 21% p.a. Tiger Global Reflects On The Past 20 Years: 2020 Letter

Tiger 21It is 20 years since Chase Coleman launched his hedge fund, Tiger Global, with a seed investment from legendary hedge fund manager Julian Robertson. During this time, the firm has carved out a reputation for being one of the most successful hedge funds of all time. Q4 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more Its

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