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Time for a quick update regarding gold and silver. I've been biting my nails since last week when gold clipped the $2,000 mark a couple of times only to be smacked down again by hedgers and those playing the derivatives market. I kept thinking to myself, 'Should I or shouldn't I' as to publish an update, especially after Friday's close at $2,004. Still, I waited a few more days, waiting for a smackdown in the gold price to occur, as has happened countless times before.
Well, after this morning's sudden jump higher in the gold price, it's time to send out a message that gold is officially at 6 month highs. Just yesterday, news put out an article stating that gold was nearing a 6 month high and questioned whether a breakout was imminent and it looks like that question has been answered. Gold now sits at $2,037 per ounce.
U.S. dollar which peaked at 107.068 on November 1 has since been on a steady downward trajectory to 102.77 at time of writing. Some readers might recall that last July, the dollar tanked to 99.75 before a monumental rise to 107.162 that ended on October 4. Days later, the Hamas / Israel conflict broke out. The dollar has struggled ever since.
The CPI numbers were released the week before last and showed that inflation was up through the year ending in October and decelerating from the previous month, a sign of 'disinflation', where inflation continues to rise but at a slower pace. This was seen as a positive sign by some which pushed the dollar up, albeit only slightly. The dollar though, is clearly running out of gas. The $33.833T national debt and trillion dollar interest payments on that debt are not helping the situation at all.
There's always so much more to this story but that has been so successfully orchestrated to be as confusing as possible for us little minions to understand that most of us are left just scratching our heads, wondering WTF is going on.
Then, there's silver, the most widely used and definitely the most important metal that allows us to enjoy all the modern tech we use today. It should be at $150 or higher but continues to languish below $25 per ounce. of RoadtoRoota.com points out that 200 million ounces of silver will be needed next year, just for solar panels as part of the so-called green movement. Just for solar panels? If this really is the case, the solar panel industry will need 1 billion ounces of silver over the next 5 years to fulfill their quotas. I agree with Bix when he says this will be EXPLOSIVE for the price of silver. Yet, here we are...
Future historians may very well study our behavior in our time and wonder why the heck didn't the masses buy even just a few ounces of silver when the opportunity was there, at such low prices. I can tell you what will happen. Once the price surpasses $50 for an ounce of silver, then the masses will rush in and pay ever higher premiums, driving the price up ever higher and the dream of gaining possession of an ounce of silver for less that $25 spot will become just that, a dream.
Having a quick look at , it is at 12 month highs, briefly surpassing $38,000 last Friday before dropping to a low of $36,770 yesterday. At time of writing, Bitcoin appears set to breach $38,000. With the dollar weakening and gold gaining strength, I suspect this will drive Bitcoin higher. If the dollar falls another point, I expect Bitcoin to top $40,000. It'll probably happen before the week is over but don't listen to me, I'm no expert.
Turning to oil, the OPEC+ group of countries are set to meet and there will be a big push to cut oil production once more. Led by the Saudis, production cuts have been ongoing since last spring and by the end of the year, the cut will total approximately 1 billion barrels. I had expected oil to rise significantly as a result but strangely, the oil price went down instead to below $80 for Brent Crude since the summer. Was it because of the strong dollar these last few months? Likely...
This morning, Brent is up 2.46% to $81.95 per barrel (bad weather) but the looming OPEC+ meeting along with an update of the U.S.A.'s oil inventories will drive oil price movements this week, according to OilPrice.com. Unfortunately, I still expect oil prices to rise, especially if tensions in the Middle East aren't de-escalated.
In closing, by the time I got to writing this paragraph, gold rose a bit further, surpassing $2,040 per ounce. Keep an eye on gold!
That's it for now. Winter's just about here. Are you prepared? You should be because this is likely to be a winter we won't soon forget.
Peace and love to everyone!
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